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Ranking Language Models by How Well They Spot Liars
I built a benchmark to rank language models on spotting liars, then ran 522 games of Mafia through it. The same model scored -0.400 and +0.078 in one run, 52 games apart. Day 1 accusations came in at -0.005 against chance on n=2,103, and the whole thing reproduces in 11 seconds with no API keys.